These 2 Sectors Comprise 71% of Warren Buffett's Portfolio: Are They Recession-Resistant? | Business News | wfmz.com

2022-07-02 03:39:23 By : Mr. Peter Qiu

Partly to mostly cloudy and muggy with a few showers and thunderstorms overnight. .

Partly to mostly cloudy and muggy with a few showers and thunderstorms overnight.

Warren Buffett is a master investor, with the wealth and track record to prove it. He's been investing successfully for decades on his own terms, often with heavy concentrations in sectors and individual stocks.

Buffett has openly labelled diversification as a technique that's only needed by less-skilled investors. The portfolio at Berkshire Hathaway, the company Buffett runs, reflects that belief. Specifically, two sectors account for 71% of Berkshire's holdings: technology and finance.

Diversification is a risk management strategy. The goal is to avoid having all your assets move in lockstep together -- which would create extreme portfolio volatility. You might not mind upside volatility, but no one likes downside volatility.

With the possibility of a U.S. recession looming, is Buffett taking a gamble on these two sectors? Let's take a closer look.

Berkshire owns 14 financial stocks. As you can see in the table below, the top four of these financial companies comprise 23% of the overall portfolio.

Rank in Portfolio (in Terms of Value)

Bank of America (NYSE: BAC)

Data source: 1Q22 13F filing.

The broader financial sector usually enjoys relatively stable demand in all types of economic climates. Some areas, like bookkeeping and tax prep services, can even get a boost in a recession.

Buffett's exposure, however, is in banks -- which have their own behaviors in down economies. Banks can do well in mild downturns, when credit card interest rates tick up and borrowing levels increase. But banks will struggle as defaults rise.

Interestingly, Buffett opened smaller positions in two banks in the first quarter -- Citigroup (NYSE: C) and Ally Financial (NYSE: ALLY) , which has a consumer banking division. Buffett is not one to move in and out of a stock or sector based on short-term market conditions. So unfortunately, you can't interpret the increased banking concentration as a prediction for a softer (bank-friendly) downturn.

It's more appropriate to surmise that Buffett feels good about the longer-term prospects for these stocks. Even if a sharp recession materializes, Buffett sees these banks weathering the storm.

The table below shows Berkshire's technology stocks -- all five of them.

Rank in Portfolio (in Terms of Value)

Data source: 1Q22 13F filing.

The tech sector, like financial services, likely won't demonstrate a uniform response to recession. Mature tech companies like Apple, Microsoft, and Alphabet obviously have advantages over their smaller counterparts. Those advantages include diverse revenue streams, wide-scale brand recognition, and access to capital. These factors, along with an ongoing business push toward digitization, kept these tech stocks resilient in the brief recession of 2020.

A recession this year, though, might play out differently. Investors are already nervous about tech valuations, which has pushed share prices down this year. That negative investor sentiment could create more extreme reactions to softer-than-expected guidance or results.

Smaller tech stocks have more risk in a recession. Their less-stable business performance exacerbates the challenges of a nervous investor climate and rising interest rates.

Buffett owns a few small tech stocks, but this exposure pales in comparison to his Apple holdings. And with Apple, Buffett shows no concern. When Apple's share price dipped in the first quarter, he increased Berkshire's position by nearly 3.8 million shares.

Buffett also bought more Activision shares in the first quarter, on the news that Microsoft will purchase the video game maker.

Buffett held positions in HP, Snowflake, and Nu Holdings stable in the first quarter. Snowflake is a data warehousing company with a positive outlook for this fiscal year. Nu Holdings is a digital banking platform with about 60 million customers in South America.

The finance and technology sectors both have complicated histories with recession. Still, Buffett's picks in these areas are strategic. He's proven his ability to identify companies with staying power -- which, in his view, offers better protection than diversification.

Even so, most investors benefit from diversifying more than Buffett. It's too challenging to predict accurately how certain sectors or stocks will respond to constantly changing circumstances. Diversification protects you from being wrong -- which can keep you in the game to win another day.

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Citigroup is an advertising partner of The Ascent, a Motley Fool company. Suzanne Frey, an executive at Alphabet, is a member of The Motley Fool's board of directors. Ally is an advertising partner of The Ascent, a Motley Fool company. Bank of America is an advertising partner of The Ascent, a Motley Fool company. American Express is an advertising partner of The Ascent, a Motley Fool company. Catherine Brock has positions in Microsoft. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Activision Blizzard, Alphabet (A shares), Alphabet (C shares), Apple, Berkshire Hathaway (B shares), HP, Microsoft, Moody's, and Snowflake Inc. The Motley Fool recommends the following options: long January 2023 $200 calls on Berkshire Hathaway (B shares), long March 2023 $120 calls on Apple, short January 2023 $200 puts on Berkshire Hathaway (B shares), short January 2023 $265 calls on Berkshire Hathaway (B shares), and short March 2023 $130 calls on Apple. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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· FastBridge Fiber has announced it will build an all-fiber cable network that will offer ultra-fast internet in the Reading area.

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· A Dunkin' in Schuylkill County located at 400 Terry Rich Blvd., St. Clair, has become just the fourth location of the donut and coffee chain to go entirely digital. 

· The Conservatory music school in Bucks County will close after 34 years, and school officials say the COVID-19 pandemic is the cause. The nonprofit, located at 4059 Skyron Drive, Doylestown, will close June 30.

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· Dunkin' reopens remodeled restaurant at 1174 MacArthur Road in Whitehall Township

· Muse Modern Med Spa at 325 Fifth St. in Whitehall Township  will hold a grand opening June 4.

· Around Again, a consignment store, opened at 154 S. Main St., Phillipsburg

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· Take It Outdoors Recreation Hub has moved to a spot along the Schuylkill River Trail at Riverfront Park in Pottstown, Montgomery County

· Pedego Electric Bikes has a new outlet in Lambertville, N.J. at 13 N. Union St.

· Amanda Vachris has opened a new Keller Williams Real Estate office at 15 St. John St. in Schuylkill Haven.

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· Ciao Sandwich Shoppe is adding a second location, this time on College Hill in Easton. Ciao plans to open at 325 Cattell St. in late summer. Ciao already operates in downtown Easton at 12 N. Third St

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·The Beef Baron on Catasauqua Road in Bethlehem is closed indefinitely for renovations

· The Brothers That Just Do Gutters are opening a new location in Allentown at 1302 N. 18th St.

· St. John Chrysostom Academy, an Orthodox school serving grades 1-9 starting this fall, held a grand opening at its St. Francis Center, Bethlehem, campus.

· Easton Commons, a shopping center anchored by Giant Foods at 2920 Easton Ave., Bethlehem Township, has a new name: The Shops at Bethlehem.

· Carbon County is getting a taste of Brazil at Uai Brasil BBQ at 315 Lehigh Ave. in Palmerton.

· The Keystone Pub in Bethlehem Township, at 3259 Easton Avenue, has reopened after a lengthy and expensive renovation. 

· The Trading Post Depot opened at 401 Northampton St., Easton. The rustic furniture store makes custom tables for dining rooms, desktops, conference centers and more.

· The Easton area has a new gym: Homemade Fitness at 444 Cedarville Road in Williams Township.

· Il Gaetano Ristorante opened at its 665 Columbus Ave., Phillipsburg, location. 

· Ciao! Sandwich Shoppe to open second location on College Hill in Easton, replacing The Kettle Room

· Rene and Grisellies Benique have opened Ezekiel 47 Cafe at 10 S. Fifth Ave., off Fifth and Penn avenues, in West Reading. 

· Alter Ego Salon and Day Spa in Emmaus is holding a grand opening Sunday, May 22, from 11 a.m. to 3 p.m., with a ribbon cutting at noon. 

· Origen Latin Fusion has opened at the site of the former Tomcat Cafe in Sinking Spring, Berks County. 

· Sellersville Senior Residences will hold a ribbon-cutting ceremony May 24. The Bucks County affordable-housing community for adults 55 and older has 50 apartments, with eight allocated for people with behavioral health needs.

· The House and Barn in Emmaus has opened its Shed outdoor dining and cigar bar area. The House and Barn is at 1449 Chestnut St. in Emmaus.

· Realtor Amanda Vachris and the Schuylkill Chamber of Commerce will hold a ribbon cutting at Vachris's new Keller Williams Real Estate office at 15 St. John St., Schuylkill Haven, at 4 p.m. on May 24.

· Il Gaetano Ristorante will hold a grand opening on Friday, May 20, at 5:30 p.m. The 665 Columbus Ave., Phillipsburg.

· First Commonwealth Federal Credit Union will hold a grand opening at its new headquarters in Trexlertown, 6126 Hamilton Blvd., on May 18.

· Vinyl Press Signs & Graphics has relocated within Emmaus. The new site is 15 S. Second St., not far from the former Sixth Street location.

· Pedro's Cafe in Emmaus to close

· SV Sports (formerly Schuylkill Valley Sports) to close Quakertown location

· Flemington DIY will host a Grand Re-Opening on May 14 at 26 Stangl Road, Flemington. The celebration will kick off at 10 a.m. 

· Elpedio’s Ristorante at Seipsville opened at 2912 Old Nazareth Road in Easton. The restaurant is open Wednesday through Sunday.

· Uai Brazil opened at 315 Lehigh Ave, Palmerton, offering both a seated or buffet option. 

· Colombian Mex Restaurant opened at 107 E Union Blvd in Bethlehem, offering traditional Colombian cuisine. 

· Precision Ink opened at 161 W Berwick St. in Easton. 

· King Wing opened a location in Bethlehem at 129 E. Third St., serving wings and sandwiches.  

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